Wednesday, April 28, 2021

COVID 19 -- What have we learned after one year?

 COVID-19 is a flu that has been addressed in ways unlike any flu in history. 

The predictions and advice have been consistently wrong, often just an educated guess. 

The counting of deaths and cases is unprecedented for any flu. 

Lock downs of healthy people are unprecedented.

Children, whose COVID symptoms are like a cold, are treated the same as the elderly, for whom this was the worst flu since 1918 / 1919 (that killed people of all ages).

That 1918 / 1919 flu had two death spikes and then seemed to disappear with no vaccines and no medicines to treat it. 

Most likely it mutated into a milder form of flu.

Humans live with about 219 viruses that cause sickness. 

My guess is COVID will be number 220.  

The death rate outside of nursing homes is about 0.2%, so COVID is not a deadly disease. 

The number of cases is based on a PCR test with a large percentage of false positives. 

Never before 2020 has a flu case been declared based only on a test, with no symptoms. 

Never before 2020 was flu considered a primary cause of death. 

It used to be listed as a contributory factor, if mentioned on the death certificate at all. 

The CDC would use a computer model to very roughly estimate total flu deaths each year.

Never before had masks been advised for healthy people -- masks used outdoors while doing exercise are actually unhealthy. 

Never before has social distancing of six foot been recommended. 

The only scientific tests in the past were for a three foot distance, and not for any form of the flu.

The injected experimental medications for COVID are also unprecedented. 

So far the Moderna and Pfizer medications seem to work better than Johnson &  Johnson, AstraVeneca, Sinovac and  others.  

But the number of adverse side effects is unprecedented, compared with past conventional flu vaccines. 

The medications will probably be recommended every year for COVID variants. 

Their effect on COVID variants is unknown, but so far the Moderna and Pfizer medications seem best.

Antibodies developed from a COVID infection are likely to be longer lasting than antibodies developed from a medication.

So far, antibody tests are revealing that over one quarter of people NOT known to have been infected with COVID, who did NOT take any of the injected medications, have antibodies that should protect them from COVID. 

Perhaps antibodies from a coronavirus cold?  

Perhaps the "cold" they had was actually a COVID infection?  

That's good news, whatever the reason.

Never before COVID medications, has any medication been "forced" on so many people with:
(1) No animal testing,


(2) Unknown side effects beyond the first few months, 

(3) No test subjects were younger than age 18 or older than age 55

(4) No data on duration of protection from COVID

(5) No attempt to measure if it prevented transmission of infections,
(6) No attempt to measure if it prevented death,
(7) Measuring results based only on reported symptoms, many that are no different than symptoms from a common cold, or from another flu strain, and

(8) According to a study done by Harvard, less than 1% of all adverse reactions to vaccines are actually submitted to the national Vaccine Adverse Events Reports System (VAERS), and

(9) Vaccine makers cannot be sued, even if they are shown to be negligent.


Would you like to see the raw data that produced the “90% and 95% effective” claims?

They won’t let us see those data. 

These vaccines were never designed to stop transmission or infection. 

What the vaccines are meant to accomplish is to lower your symptoms. 

  Ye Editor


Following is a highly edited version of a good British article summarizing what we've learned about COVID so far.  

It's longer than typical articles I present here, so you'll have to read it if you want more information:

Source:
One year of Covid-19: 
Facts and Analyses
The Conservative Woman
By Manfred Horst

"Note: This is a translation of the original German article

'In the following article, I have compiled and analysed the essential medico-epidemiological data.'

'The symptoms caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus are similar to those caused by other pathogens of human respiratory infections, i.e. they are non-specific. 

The majority of people infected with the virus either develop no symptoms at all, or only mild ones from which they fully recover.

According to the World Health Organisation, www.who.int the most common symptoms of Covid-19 are :
·         Fever
·         Dry cough
·         Fatigue

Other symptoms that are less common
and may affect some patients include:
·         loss of taste or smell,
·         nasal congestion,
·     conjunctivitis (also known as red eyes),
·         sore throat,
·         headache,
·         muscle or joint pain,
·         different types of skin rash,
·         nausea or vomiting,
·         diarrhoea,
·         chills or dizziness.

Symptoms of severe Covid‐19 disease include:
·         shortness of breath,
·         loss of appetite,
·         confusion,
·     persistent pain or pressure in the chest,
·         high temperature (above 38 °c).

Human beings have had to deal with a large number of continuously mutating respiratory viruses since time immemorial; the best known and most common types include rhino-, adeno-, corona-, influenza and parainfluenza viruses.

... Severe disease progressions – generally viral pneumonias – have been described for virtually all known types of viruses; they mainly affect older people who have pre-existing health conditions and a weakened immune system.

In such patients – especially when they are bedridden – pneumonia is also very common.

... For most types of respiratory viruses, we have never tried specifically to determine this frequency; it is therefore difficult to examine this hypothesis.

However, in terms of patient characteristics (especially age and pre-existing conditions), severe Covid-19 is no different from the severe disease progressions caused by other respiratory viruses;

this would tend to suggest that it is yet another, unexceptional representative of that same category.

For the one type where we do have reasonable numbers, the influenza virus, recent scientific analysis indicates that Covid-19 is certainly not dissimilar.

... It may well be that some people suffer from the disease caused by this particular virus for extended periods, or are left with specific sequelae (‘Long Covid’).

However, late effects have been described for other respiratory viruses as well, the influenza viruses in particular.

... It may well be that this virus is particularly ‘contagious’, due to some particular biochemical and/or physiological properties.

Here, too, we lack meaningful comparative data; respiratory infection chains are generally difficult to trace.

... the high occurrence of asymptomatic infections ... proves that many people already have basic immunity (or cross-immunity with other coronaviruses), just as most of us have some basic immunity to most of those constantly mutating respiratory viruses.

It may well be, though, that the only truly distinctive characteristic of this virus is the fact that mankind is chasing it with specific tests, declaring everyone who tests positive as an ‘infected person’ or a ‘case’.

The age distribution of ‘corona deaths’ (people who have died ‘of or with Covid-19’) is similar to that of the general population; in all European countries, the average age of death is 80 and over.

In 2020, some countries saw relative under-mortality of up to 5 per cent, as compared to the mean of the previous five years, while others experienced a relative excess mortality of between 1 per cent and slightly over 10 per cent.

... On the basis of their age distribution and their multi-morbidity (the virtually universal presence of other serious diseases), we can assume that the cohort of people who died with a positive test for SARS-CoV-2

is part of the normal and inevitable mortality of the general population and cannot significantly alter the total amount of that mortality.

... For the first time in medical history, we are tracking a specific respiratory infection pathogen with mass testing in the general population.

... For more than a year now, we have been tracking the presence of fragments of one specific respiratory virus with mass laboratory testing, not only in sick people but also (and now primarily) in healthy individuals,

declaring them to be ‘infected’ as soon as any one of these tests, following any one of many different lab protocols, detects or purports to detect any viral debris on their mucous membranes.

Perfectly healthy people are being quarantined because of their test results, under the assumption that they could infect and endanger others.

Leaving aside the question of whether such an ‘asymptomatic infection’ with the virus really exists at all (though it should be noted here that all coercive government measures are based on this unproven assumption) the virus is now endemic anyway,

... The pathogen cannot be eliminated pharmaceutically; antiviral therapies have – at least as yet – not been able to clearly prove efficacy.

Ultimately, the human body has to come to grips with the virus by itself, and in the vast majority of cases it does.

All we can do is to alleviate the signs of inflammation caused by this fight; this is as true of SARS-CoV-2 as it is of any other respiratory virus.

... The measures adopted by Western democracies to combat SARS-CoV-2 follow the initial example of the Chinese dictatorship – not their own pandemic plans or the original recommendations of the World Health Organisation.

To date, no government has presented a documented cost/benefit analysis of its measures, let alone been guided by such an analysis in its decision-making.

... Countries (and periods) with hard lockdowns have shown and continue to show the highest mortality rates.

The virus spreads according to its own laws, according to a clear seasonal rhythm in the temperate European climate zones – it is a common cold virus which doesn’t care about government guidelines.

... On the other hand, the enormous damage caused by the governments’ coercive measures is becoming increasingly clear, even if the majority of the Western population has yet to start feeling it personally.

... The SARS-CoV-2 vaccines were developed in record time, with many of the steps normally required by the regulatory authorities being omitted.

The pivotal clinical trials demonstrate a preventive efficacy against common cold symptoms with a positive SARS CoV-2 test and show a trend – albeit not a statistically significant one – towards a reduction in severe cases with a positive test for SARS CoV-2.

No preventive effect against mortality (death) has been demonstrated, nor are there apparently any plans to do so.

... The (conditional) approval of vaccines developed in less than a year was carried out under high political pressure.

Given the lack of the normally required safety studies (for example, animal toxicology) and given the extremely brief period of clinical observation, we can only hope that these products will not cause too many serious side-effects.

The highly publicised efficacy of the products approved to date is a statistically significant reduction in common cold symptoms with a positive test compared with placebo ...

The fact that these vaccines succeed in clearly reducing the detectability of SARS-CoV-2 in individuals suffering from fever, cough or hoarseness is certainly an interesting biological result.

From the patient’s point of view ... he or she simply wants to have less fever, cough and hoarseness, no matter what is causing them.

That is precisely what has not been shown in the clinical trials.

... most of these common cold symptoms are also listed as side-effects after vaccination, and occurred much more frequently in the respective vaccination groups than under placebo ...

... patients do not care whether their shortness of breath, their hospitalisation or their death is associated with a positive SARS-CoV-2 test or not; they just do not want any of this.

In fact, a truly relevant proof of efficacy of all these vaccines could be provided only through rigorously conducted mortality studies (i.e. the comparison of the absolute death rate between the vaccination and the placebo groups) ...

This is not even planned, however – in all likelihood for very good reasons.

In the clinical vaccine studies published to date, a total of well over 100,000 subjects were included, but to date not a single Covid-19 death has apparently been recorded ...

The vaccines ... seem in fact to be doing what they demonstrated in the randomised clinical trials – reducing the number of positively tested individuals (corona ‘cases’).

Their side-effect profiles are being established as we go along.

Whether these vaccines will have any significant positive effect on population morbidity and above all mortality remains to be seen. ... "