Saturday, January 12, 2019

Trump border crisis speech full of misleading and false statements

My own bias:
If it were up to me, 
there would be 
a double fence
on the Mexican border,
with a road and barbed wire 
between the two fences.

Anyone who got through
the first fence would be shot
and left to die without 
medical assistance.

I imagine "my" policy 
would steer people
toward legal points of entry.

Of course that's why I don't
get to make the decision ! 

President Trump made 
a nine-minute speech
about a “security crisis 
at the southern border”
on January 9, 2019.

Many statistics
that Trump presented
were misleading,
as is common 
among politicians
of both parties.

Democrats who voted
for a border fence in 2006 
apparently now want 
'open borders',
although they never 
state that directly
... because it is 
a stupid policy !

And if they don't want
open borders, then they
are just opposing any
border barrier because
Trump promised to 
build "a wall", 
and they want Trump
to lose in 2020, 
partly because 
"his wall" never got built.


This is 
American 
politics
at it's worst.



THE  BIG  PICTURE:
The number of people 
caught trying to cross illegally,
between legal ports of entry, 
is near 20-year lows:












Apprehensions of people 
trying to cross 
the southern border 
between ports of entry
peaked at 
1.64 million in 2000, 
and have been 
in a sharp decline 
since then, falling to
397,000 apprehensions 
at the U.S.-Mexico border 
for fiscal 2018.


There are 
far more cases 
of travelers 
overstaying visas, 
than southern border 
apprehensions. 

In fiscal 2017, 
the Department 
of Homeland Security 
reported 606,926 
suspected in-country 
visa overstays, 
or twice the number 
of southern border 
apprehensions
in the same year. 

In fiscal 2016, 
U.S. officials reported 
408,870 southern border 
apprehensions 
and 544,676 
suspected in-country 
vias overstays.





Trump said border agents 
“encounter thousands 
of illegal immigrants 
trying to enter our country”
every day.

Southern border 
apprehensions 
in fiscal 2018 
averaged 30,000 
per month
 (or 1,000 a day). 

One thousand a day, 
is not 
"thousands" a day.





Trump said 90% 
of the heroin 
in the United States 
comes across 
the border 
with Mexico.

There is no way anyone 
could know exactly
what percentage
crosses the border.

But 90% of the heroin 
sold in the United States
is believed to come 
across the Mexican border.

However, 
most of the heroin
comes through 
legal entry points, 
and wouldn’t be stopped 
by a new border wall.

Only a small percentage 
of all heroin seized
by Customs & 
Border Protection 
along the land border, 
was seized between 
legal Ports of Entry.



Trump said: 
“Last month, 
20,000 migrant children 
were illegally brought 
into the United States, 
a dramatic increase. 
These children are used 
as human pawns 
by vicious coyotes 
and ruthless gangs.”

The "20,000" 
is correct,
but no one tracks 
how many 
of the 
20,000 children 
are smuggled in 
by bad actors, 
“coyotes” or 
drug gangs.

The 20,000 
is CBP’s number 
for apprehensions 
of family units and 
unaccompanied 
minors.

A "family unit" is 
a child, or children, 
with a mother,
or a father, 
or a mother and father,
or a legal guardian. 

20,000 is 
the total number
of children, parents 
and legal guardians 
caught at the border, 
not the number 
of families.



Incoming families 
and children
are the current
primary problem:
“Record numbers 
of migrant families 
are streaming 
into the 
United States, 
overwhelming 
border agents,
and leaving 
holding cells 
dangerously 
overcrowded 
with children, 
many of whom 
are falling sick,” 
The Washington Post 
reported January 5, 2019.



Senator Chuck Schumer, 
Senator Hillary Clinton, 
Senator Barack Obama,
and many other Democrats, 
all voted for the 
Secure Fence Act 
of 2006, 
which authorized 
building a fence 
along nearly 700 miles 
of the border 
between the 
United States 
and Mexico.

Trump has called 
the 2006 fence 
a “nothing wall.” 

Whether one calls 
the situation 
at the Mexico border
a "crisis", depends
on how you 
define "crisis".

The word "crisis"
has precedent: